Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.000639 0.000732 0.000832 0.000945 0.001069 0.001203 0.001355
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.000490 0.000619 0.000765 0.000943 0.001152 0.001388 0.001674
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000419 0.000563 0.000736 0.000955 0.001222 0.001534 0.001924
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000347 0.000497 0.000683 0.000930 0.001240 0.001615 0.002096
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000290 0.000440 0.000635 0.000901 0.001248 0.001677 0.002240
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000254 0.000406 0.000611 0.000899 0.001284 0.001772 0.002426
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000224 0.000377 0.000590 0.000898 0.001320 0.001866 0.002610
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000196 0.000347 0.000564 0.000887 0.001340 0.001937 0.002765
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000170 0.000317 0.000535 0.000869 0.001349 0.001992 0.002899
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000158 0.000306 0.000533 0.000889 0.001409 0.002117 0.003127
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000146 0.000294 0.000529 0.000904 0.001462 0.002233 0.003346
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000128 0.000272 0.000506 0.000889 0.001470 0.002285 0.003478
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000111 0.000248 0.000480 0.000868 0.001469 0.002326 0.003597
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000100 0.000235 0.000469 0.000871 0.001503 0.002418 0.003788
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000092 0.000225 0.000463 0.000881 0.001548 0.002524 0.004003
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000079 0.000205 0.000438 0.000857 0.001539 0.002553 0.004106
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000068 0.000186 0.000413 0.000830 0.001525 0.002571 0.004193
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000061 0.000176 0.000402 0.000828 0.001547 0.002645 0.004363
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000055 0.000166 0.000393 0.000827 0.001572 0.002722 0.004538
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000049 0.000155 0.000378 0.000817 0.001581 0.002774 0.004677
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000042 0.000143 0.000361 0.000800 0.001578 0.002808 0.004788
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000040 0.000140 0.000364 0.000819 0.001635 0.002935 0.005043
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.000037 0.000137 0.000364 0.000833 0.001684 0.003052 0.005285